Ksenia Sigakova , pp. 55. COM/School of Computing, 2012.
Road freight transport travel time estimation is an important task in fleet management and traffic planning. Goods often must be delivered in a predefined time window and any deviation may lead to serious consequences. It is possible to improve travel time estimation by considering more factors that may affect it.
In this thesis work we identify factors that may affect travel time, find possible sources of information about them, propose a model for estimating travel time of heavy goods vehicles, and verify this model on real data.
As results, the experiments showed that considering time related and weather related factors, it is possible to improve accuracy of travel time estimation. Also, it was shown that the influence of a particular factor on travel time depended on the considered road segment. Furthermore, it was shown that different data mining algorithms should be applied for different road segments in order to get the best estimation.